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Accomplishments (Years 3, 4)

Presentations

(Conference)

• Wagner, D.M. Forensic implications of bacterial population genetics. 3rd National Conference on Environmental Sampling and Detection for Bio-Threat Agents, Las Vegas, NV, December 2008.
• Mitchell-Blackwood, J., C. O’Donnell, and P. L. Gurian. An Evaluation of the Risk Threshold for Prophylaxis and Treatment After an Anthrax Release. Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Boston, MA, December, 2008.
• Hong, T., and P. L. Gurian. Surface Sampling Areas Required to Inform Risk-based Responses to B. anthracis Contamination. Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Boston, MA, December, 2008.
• Weir, M., and C. N. Haas. Microbial Dose Response Modeling in the 21st Century: The Development of Mechanistic Dose Response Models. Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Boston, MA, December, 2008.
• Huang Y., T. Hong, P. L. Gurian, C. N. Haas, T. Bartrand, S. Tamakar, and M. Weir. Benefit-cost analysis to develop targets for ambient air sampling (Poster). Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Boston, MA, December, 2008.
• Henley, J. B. and C. P. Gerba. Determining the inactivation of viruses on fomites. Ann. Mtg. 108th American Society for Microbiology (ASM) General Meeting, Boston, MA, June 2008.
• Sinclair, R. G. G., C. P. Gerba and C. Y. Choi. 2008. Axial dispersion of salt tracers and MS-2 phage in an experimental water distribution system. 108th American Society for Microbiology (ASM) General Meeting, Boston, MA, June 2008.
• Choi, C. Y. and I. L. Pepper. Recent Advances in Water Quality Modelling in a Pressurized Pipe Network. Singapore Water Week Convention, June 24, 2008.
• Choi, C. Y., J. Y. Shen, and R. G. Austin. Development of a Comprehensive Solute Mixing Model (AZRED) for Double-Tee, Cross, and Wye Junctions. 10th Annual Water Distribution Systems Analysis Symposium, South Africa, August 19, 2008.
• Romero-Gomez, P., Z. Li, C. Y. Choi, S.G. Buchberger, K.E. Lansey, and V.T. Tzatchkov. Axial Dispersion in Pressurized Pipe under Various Flow Conditions (Best Paper Award). 10th Annual Water Distribution Systems Analysis Symposium, South Africa, August 19, 2008.
• Romero-Gomez, P., C. Y. Choi, Lansey, K. E., Preis, A., and Ostfeld, A. Sensor Network Design with Improved Water Quality Models at Cross Junctions. 10th Annual Water Distribution Systems Analysis Symposium, South Africa, August 20, 2008.
• Weir, M. H. Microbial Dose Response Modeling in the 21st Century:  The Development of Mechanistic Dose Response Models. Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting, Boston, Massachusetts, December 2008.
• Weir, M. H. and C. N. Haas. Effect of Host Species on the Dose Response of Inhaled Bacillus anthracis Spores. Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting, Boston, Massachusetts, December 2008.
• Weir, M. H. and C. N. Haas. Quantification of the Effect of Age on the Dose Response of Variola major (causative agent of smallpox) (Poster). Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, San Antonio, Texas, December 2007.
• Mitchell-Blackwood J., P. Gurian, and M. Weir. A Bayesian statistical modeling approach for Bacillus anthracis dose-response data. Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, San Antonio, Texas, December 2007.
• Durham, D. P. and E. A. Casman. Should We Worry About Plague in Urban Rats in the U.S. (Best Student Paper in Ecology Award). Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, San Antonio, Texas, December 2007.
• Weir, M. H. and C. N. Haas. Quantification of the Effect of Age on the Dose Response of Variola major (causative agent of smallpox) (Poster). Second Annual Department of Homeland Security University Network Summit on Research and Education, Washington DC, March 2008.
• Tamrakar, S.B. and C. N. Haas.  Dose-Response Model for Burkholderia Pseudomallei (Poster). Annual Department of Homeland Security University Network Summit on Research and Education, Washington DC, March 2008. 
• Huang, Y., T. A. Bartrand, and C. N. Haas. 2008. Incorporating Time Post Inoculation into a Dose Response Model of Yersinia pestis in Mice (Poster).  Second Annual Department of Homeland Security University Network Summit on Research and Education, Washington DC, March 2008.
• Haas, C. N., M. H. Weir, and T. A. Bartrand. Effect of Host Species on the Dose Response of Inhaled Bacillus anthracis Spores (Poster).  Second Annual Department of Homeland Security University Network Summit on Research and Education, Washington DC, March 2008.
• Hong, T., P. Gurian, N. Dudley Ward. Analytical Equations Relating Aerosol Risk to Surface Concentrations (Poster). Second Annual Department of Homeland Security University Network Summit on Research and Education, Washington DC, March 2008.
• Herzog, A. Implications of Detection Limit of Various Methods for Bacillus anthracis in Computing Risk to Human Health. The Civil and Environmental Engineering Student Mini-Symposium, Michigan State University, April 2008.
• Eisenberg, J. Effects of Exposure Dynamics in Dose Response Relationships. The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda. MD, April 2008.
• Koopman, J. An Emerging Science of Environmental Infection Transmission Systems. The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda. MD, April 2008.
• Weir, M. H. Dose Response Modeling in the 21st Century:  The Development of Mechanistic Dose Response Models (Poster). The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda. MD, April 2008.
• Weir, M. H. and C. N. Haas. Quantification of the Effect of Age on the Dose Response of Variola major (causative agent of smallpox) (Poster). The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda. MD, April 2008.
• Huang, Y., T. A. Bartrand, and C. N. Haas. Incorporating Time Post Inoculation into a Dose Response Model of Yersinia pestis in Mice (Poster). The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda. MD, April 2008.
• Tamrakar, S. B. and C. N. Haas. Dose-Response Model for Burkholderia Pseudomallei (Poster).  The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda. MD, April 2008.
• Hong, T., P. Gurian, N. Dudley Ward. Analytical Equations Relating Aerosol Risk to Surface Concentrations (Poster). The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda, MD, April 2008.
• Mitchell-Blackwood, J., P. L. Gurian, and M. H. Weir. Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling to Estimate Interspecies Dose-Response Safety Factors (Poster). The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda, Maryland, April 2008.
• Durham, D. and E. Casman. Plague Dynamics in Urban Rodents. The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda, MD, April 2008.
• Casman, E. Risk Communication Planning for the Aftermath of a Plague Bioattack. The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda, MD, April 2008.
• Weber, R. O. and S. Gunawardena. 2008. The CAMRA Knowledge Management Approach (Poster). The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda, MD, April 2008.
• Gunawardena, S., C. MacDonald, and R. O. Weber 2008. Discovering Optimal Search Term Cardinality (Poster). The Joint U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Homeland Security Conference on Real-World Applications and Solutions for Microbial Risk Assessment, Bethesda, MD, April 2008.
• Mitchell-Blackwood, J., P. L. Gurian, and M. H. Weir. A Hierarchical Model for Probabilistic Dose-Response Assessment of Bacillus anthracis (Poster). Second Annual Department of Homeland Security University Network Summit on Research and Education, Washington, DC, March 2008.
• Weir, M. H. Dose Response Modeling in the 21st Century:  The Development of Mechanistic Dose Response Models (Poster).  Drexel University Tenth Annual Research, Innovation, Scholarship and Creativity Day 2008, Philadelphia, PA, April 2008.
• Weir, M. H. and C. N. Haas. Quantification of the Effect of Age on the Dose Response of Variola major (causative agent of smallpox) (Poster). Drexel University Tenth Annual Research, Innovation, Scholarship and Creativity Day 2008, Philadelphia, PA, April 2008.
• Huang, Y., T. A. Bartrand, and C. N. Haas. Incorporating Time Post Inoculation into a Dose Response Model of Yersinia pestis in Mice (Poster). Drexel University Tenth Annual Research, Innovation, Scholarship and Creativity Day 2008, Philadelphia, PA, April 2008.
• O'Donnell, C., P.L. Gurian, D. Scarsella and R. Johnson. Threshold for Anthrax Vaccination (Poster). Drexel University Tenth Annual Research, Innovation, Scholarship and Creativity Day 2008, Philadelphia, PA, April 2008.
• Madsen, J. and P. L. Gurian. A Valuation of the BioWatch Detection System (Poster). Drexel University Tenth Annual Research, Innovation, Scholarship and Creativity Day 2008, Philadelphia, PA, April 2008.
• Mitchell-Blackwood, J. and P. L. Gurian. An Evaluation of the Risk Threshold for Prophylaxis and Treatment After An Anthrax Release (Poster). Drexel University Tenth Annual Research, Innovation, Scholarship and Creativity Day 2008, Philadelphia, PA, April 2008.
• Hong, T., P. Gurian, and N. Dudley Ward. Analytical Equations Relating Aerosol Risk to Surface Concentrations (Poster). Drexel University Tenth Annual Research, Innovation, Scholarship and Creativity Day 2008, Philadelphia, PA, April 2008.
• Mitchell-Blackwood, J., T. Hong, N. Dudley Ward, P. L. Gurian. Relating Human Health Risk to Environmental Concentrations of B. anthracis using Analytic Models. 11th Annual Force Health Protection Conference, Albuquerque, NM, 9 - 15 August, 2008.
• Huang, Y., T. Hong, T. Bartrand, P. L. Gurian, C. N. Haas, R. Liu and S. Tamrakar. How Sensitive is Safe? Risk-based Targets for Ambient Monitoring of Pathogens (Poster). International Symposium on Spectral Sensing Research, Hoboken, NJ, June 2008.
• Koopman, J. Using environmental transmission theory and data to parameterize contact networks. European Science Foundation Meeting on the Intersection of Models and Data, Utrecht, Netherlands, November 2008.
• Li, S., J. N. Eisenberg, and J. S. Koopman. Dynamics and control of infections transmitted person to person through the environment. Epidemics Conference, Pacific Grove, CA, December 2008.
• Herzog, A., C. Rodriguez, K. Enger, M. Milbrath, O. Bucher, P. Okelo, S. Luster-Teasley, and Y. Huang. 2008. Risk Assessment: Release of Anthrax in an IRS Building. Group A Case Study: CAMRA 3rd QMRA Summer Institute, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.
• Pandey, A., W. Betacourt, A. Baynton, A. Wright, K. Bush, S. Khan, K. Shaw, A. Coulliette. 2008. Adventure Vacations: Leaving Norovirus at the Dock. Group B Case Study: CAMRA 3rd QMRA Summer Institute, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.
• Mendoza-Sanchez, I., F. Simmons, C. O’Donnell, M. Sato, A. Rajić, B. Mayer, A. Jenkins, J. B. Rose, and G. Medema. Tularemia in Water: A Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment. Group C Case Study: CAMRA 3rd QMRA Summer Institute, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.
• Gurian, P., I. Young, M. T. Pepe Razzolini, R. Johnson, B. Schmidt, C. Flemming, T. Hong, and A. Smith. Risk Assessment for H5N1 Influenza A: Border Inspection of Smuggled Goods Exposure. Group D Case Study: CAMRA 3rd QMRA Summer Institute, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.

(Briefings)

• Haas, C. N., J. Rose, M. Nicas, P. Gurian, Y. Masago, R. Jones, T. A. Bartrand.  Tuberculosis Risk Associated with Airline Travel.  Briefing to Department of Homeland Security Chief Medical Officer. Washington, DC, 2007.

(Workshops)

• Gurian, P. Statistical Analysis with the R Programming Language. Society for Risk Analysis Meeting, San Antonio, Texas, December 2007.

(CAMRA Workshops)
3rd QMRA Summer Institute, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, August 10-15, 2008.

• Rose, JB: Microbes and Public Health
• Rose, JB: Introduction to Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment
• Gurian, P: Statistics and Uncertainty
• Gurian, P: Maximum Likelihood Fitting
• Haas, CN: Animal Experiments vs. Epidemiological Study
• Haas, CN: Dose-Response Models
• Haas, CN, Weir, M : Monte-Carlo Simulation
• Rose, JB: Methods for Detection of Microorganisms: False Positives and False Negatives, Specificity and Sensitivity
• Gerba, CP: Exposure Assessment
• Gerba, CP: Measuring Microbes (Recovery & Inactivation)
• Medema, G: Fate & Transport Models: Water Distribution
• Haas, CN: Fate & Transport Models: Indoor Air/Fomites
• Koopman, JS: Infection Transmission Models
• Gurian, P: Risk Perception, Communication, and Management
• Gurian, P: Bootstrap Uncertainty Analysis

1-day QMRA Workshop, 108th American Society for Microbiology (ASM) General Meeting, Boston, MA, June 2008.

• Rose, JB: Risk Frameworks, Data Sets and Integration of Microbiological Fields
• Haas, CN: Dose-Response
• Sinclair, R: Exposure Assessment
• Gurian, P: Risk Characterization & Management

 

For earlier accomplishments, see our Year 1 and Year 2 Annual Reports.

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